dan. dan, i will begin with you. you guys have the poll of the day that show this split between where the race is nationally and where it is in the swing states. why do you think there's such a wide gap? that's a big gap. >> it is a big gap, chuck. the -- you know, the margin of error on that swing state sample is bigger. >> fair enough. >> and so that 11 points could be less than that. >> but has this been a pattern? >> you know, the swing state moves a little more dramatically because it's a small sample, but i think everything we even seen in the battleground states and individual polls shows president obama with pretty healthy leads, particularly in the big three, ohio, florida, and virginia. and that columbus dispatch poll, you know, nine points, we had it at -- >> seven or eight as well. >> and cbs had it at ten. more advertising, more campaigning, and think it's had an effect. >> it's funny. four years ago there were 15 states that barack obama and john mccain were advertising in. now it's down to nine. you kn